Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

Polymarket traders put "No Change" at 61.5% on "Swiss National Bank Decision in March?". $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 18.

Most likely right now
No Change
–62%
EconomyVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.0KLiquidity $7.6Kin 5 months (Mar 18)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Change
61.5%
–
25 bps increase
24.0%
–
50+ bps increase
6.00%
–
50+ bps decrease
5.50%
–
25 bps decrease
4.85%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.