Third-best AI Lab end of December?
Polymarket traders put "Meta" at 27.5% on "Third-best AI Lab end of December?". $622 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Meta
–28%
TechVol $622Total volume $622Liquidity $7.5Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Meta
27.5%
–
Google
20.5%
–
Anthropic
13.0%
–
Moonshot
11.5%
–
Xiaomi
9.50%
–
Alibaba
9.40%
–
DeepSeek
5.30%
–
ByteDance
4.85%
–
Meituan
4.80%
–
Nvidia
4.30%
–
MiniMax
4.30%
–
Thinky
4.25%
–
StepFun
4.15%
–
Z.ai
3.90%
–
Microsoft
3.90%
–
SpaceXAI
3.85%
–
Mistral
3.85%
–
Baidu
3.75%
–
Tencent
3.45%
–
Amazon
3.35%
–
OpenAI
3.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
