UK Recession in 2026?

Most likely right now
UK Recession in 2026?
1.012%
EconomyVol $55Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $1.8KComments 3in 7 months (Mar 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
UK Recession in 2026?
11.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.