UK Recession in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "UK Recession in 2026?" at 7.0%. $287 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on May 1.

Most likely right now
UK Recession in 2026?
–7%
EconomyVol $287Total volume $16KLiquidity $2.6KComments 3in 7 months (May 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
UK Recession in 2026?
7.00%
–

Probability over time

UK Recession in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.