Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Polymarket traders put "$200M" at 47.0% on "Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $261 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
$200M
▲0.547%
CryptoVol $261Total volume $244KLiquidity $112KComments 9in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$200M
47.0%
▲0.5
$400M
31.5%
–
$600M
24.0%
▲6.0
$2B
20.5%
▼2.0
$800M
20.0%
▼0.5
$1.5B
19.0%
▼0.5
$1B
18.5%
–
$3B
14.5%
▼0.5
Probability over time
$200M
$400M
$600M
$2B
$800M
$1.5B
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
