US announces another yen intervention by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 40.5% on "US announces another yen intervention by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▲0.541%
EconomyVol $140Total volume $140Liquidity $119in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
40.5%
▲0.5
September 30, 2026
0.00%
▼3.0

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
02550751009/49/79/109/139/209/2810/2
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.