US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders put "US bank failure by December 31, 2026?" at 68.5%. $165 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
–69%
EconomyVol $165Total volume $165Liquidity $617in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
68.5%
–
Probability over time
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
