US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders put "US bank failure by December 31, 2026?" at 60.0%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $141 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
▲1.060%
EconomyVol $141Total volume $16KLiquidity $2.6Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
60.0%
▲1.0
Probability over time
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
