US defaults on debt by 2027?
Polymarket traders put "US defaults on debt by 2027?" at 1.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
US defaults on debt by 2027?
–2%
EconomyVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $1.4Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US defaults on debt by 2027?
1.95%
–
Probability over time
US defaults on debt by 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
