US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?" at 17.0%. Down 31.5%p from yesterday. $35 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
▼31.517%
EconomyVol $35Total volume $35Liquidity $222in 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
17.0%
▼31.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.