US recession by end of 2026?
Polymarket traders put "US recession by end of 2026?" at 6.5%. $5.2K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
US recession by end of 2026?
–7%
EconomyVol $5.2KTotal volume $2.3MLiquidity $77Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US recession by end of 2026?
6.50%
–
Probability over time
US recession by end of 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
