US recession by end of 2027?
Polymarket traders put "US recession by end of 2027?" at 33.5%. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
US recession by end of 2027?
–34%
EconomyVol -Total volume $10KLiquidity $23Kin 1.2 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US recession by end of 2027?
33.5%
–
Probability over time
US recession by end of 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
