Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Polymarket traders put "$100M" at 98.5% on "Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Unchanged from yesterday. $49K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
$100M
–99%
CryptoVol $49KTotal volume $3.4MLiquidity $460KComments 65in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$100M
98.5%
–
$200M
97.8%
–
$300M
96.0%
–
$500M
87.0%
▼0.5
$800M
74.5%
▼3.0
$1B
60.5%
▼4.0
$2B
29.6%
▲0.9
$3B
13.9%
▲0.9
$4B
7.00%
▼0.8
$5B
4.60%
▼0.7
Probability over time
$100M
$200M
$300M
$500M
$800M
$1B
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
