Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket traders put "$800M" at 2.1% on "Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Unchanged from yesterday. $150 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
$800M
–2%
CryptoVol $150Total volume $89KLiquidity $115KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$800M
2.15%
–
$300M
2.05%
–
$100M
1.85%
–
$500M
1.15%
–
$1B
1.15%
–
$2B
1.10%
–
$1.5B
0.85%
–

Probability over time

$800M
$300M
$100M
$500M
$1B
$2B
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.