What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?

Polymarket traders put "↓ 82,000" at 100.0% on "What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?". $466K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 17.

Most likely right now
↓ 82,000
–100%
CryptoVol $466KTotal volume $468KLiquidity $293KCloses today (Oct 17)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ 82,000
100.0%
–
↓ 81,000
100.0%
–
↓ 80,000
1.45%
–
↑ 83,000
1.25%
–
↓ 79,000
0.95%
–
↑ 84,000
0.60%
–
↓ 78,000
0.60%
–
↑ 85,000
0.30%
–
↑ 88,000
0.25%
–
↑ 87,000
0.25%
–
↑ 86,000
0.25%
–
↓ 77,000
0.25%
–
↓ 75,000
0.25%
–
↓ 76,000
0.20%
–
↑ 90,000
0.05%
–
↑ 89,000
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.