What price will Bitcoin hit on October 6?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 86,000" at 100.0% on "What price will Bitcoin hit on October 6?". $198K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 7.

Most likely right now
↑ 86,000
–100%
CryptoVol $198KTotal volume $198KLiquidity $230KCloses today (Oct 7)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 86,000
100.0%
–
↓ 85,000
14.0%
–
↓ 84,000
2.50%
–
↑ 87,000
1.50%
–
↓ 83,000
0.65%
–
↑ 89,000
0.60%
–
↑ 90,000
0.45%
–
↓ 82,000
0.30%
–
↓ 80,000
0.20%
–
↓ 79,000
0.20%
–
↑ 88,000
0.15%
–
↑ 93,000
0.05%
–
↑ 92,000
0.05%
–
↑ 91,000
0.05%
–
↓ 81,000
0.05%
–
↓ 78,000
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.