What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↓ $3" at 66.0% on "What price will Lighter hit in 2026?". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
↓ $3
▼8.066%
CryptoVol $1.2KTotal volume $864KLiquidity $70Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ $3
66.0%
▼8.0
↓ $2.5
51.0%
▲20.0
↑ $6
41.0%
▲2.5
↓ $2
30.0%
▲10.0
↑ $8
16.9%
▼2.5
↑ $10
11.5%
▲0.5
↑ $15
6.60%
▼1.6
↑ $12
3.50%
▼2.9
↑ $20
2.45%
–

Probability over time

↓ $3
↓ $2.5
↑ $6
↓ $2
↑ $8
↑ $10
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.