What will be in the UK Budget?

Polymarket traders put "CGT increase" at 50.5% on "What will be in the UK Budget?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $547 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 29.

Most likely right now
CGT increase
1.051%
EconomyVol $547Total volume $547Liquidity $2.0Kin 1 months (Oct 29)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
CGT increase
50.5%
1.0
Fuel duty increase
47.0%
1.5
Wealth tax
19.5%
28.5
Land value tax
19.5%
32.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.