What will be the next Fed rate change?

Most likely right now
What will be the next Fed rate change?
4.560%
EconomyVol $3Total volume $2.9KLiquidity $4.3Kin 2.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
What will be the next Fed rate change?
60.0%
4.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.