What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Polymarket traders put " ↓ 3.5%" at 100.0% on "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?". Unchanged from yesterday. $300 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
↓ 3.5%
–100%
EconomyVol $300Total volume $1.9MLiquidity $358KComments 13in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ 3.5%
100.0%
–
↑ 4.25%
76.8%
–
↑ 4.5%
8.65%
▼6.8
↑ 4.75%
6.70%
▲1.7
↑ 5.5%
2.80%
–
↑ 5.0%
2.75%
–
↑ 5.25%
2.60%
–
↓ 2.75%
2.60%
–
↓ 3.25%
2.45%
–
↓ 1.0%
2.40%
–
↓ 0.5%
2.25%
–
↓ 1.5%
2.05%
–
↓ 2.25%
2.00%
–
↓ 2.0%
1.85%
–
↓ 0.75%
1.85%
–
↓ 2.5%
1.75%
–
↓ 0%
1.65%
–
↓ 0.25%
1.45%
–
↓ 1.25%
1.30%
–
↓ 1.75%
1.20%
–
↓ 3.0%
0.75%
–
Probability over time
↓ 3.5%
↑ 4.25%
↑ 4.5%
↑ 4.75%
↑ 5.5%
↑ 5.0%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
