What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Most likely right now
Good Morning
▲15.079%
EconomyVol $2.3KTotal volume $46KLiquidity $28Kin 3 days (Aug 28)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Good Morning
79.0%
▲15.0
Productivity
76.5%
▼1.5
Framework
74.5%
▲3.0
Challenge
70.0%
▲0.5
Regime
66.5%
▲11.0
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
65.5%
▼0.5
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
64.5%
▲1.5
Independent / Independence
59.0%
▲4.5
2008 / Financial Crisis
48.0%
▼1.5
Bank / Asset 10+ times
43.0%
▼6.5
Task Force 5+ times
37.5%
▲0.5
Prediction / Predictive
35.5%
▲5.0
Good Day
35.5%
▼1.0
Too Late
25.0%
–
Integrity
20.5%
▼3.0
Stable 5+ times
20.0%
–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
12.0%
▼1.5
Gold
10.0%
–
Trump
2.30%
▼1.8
-No Qualifying Event-
1.70%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
