What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 45" at 53.5% on "What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?". $821 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
↑ 45
–54%
CryptoVol $821Total volume $821Liquidity $2.0Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 45
53.5%
–
↓ 40
52.0%
–
↑ 50
50.5%
–
↑ 60
24.0%
–
↓ 35
23.0%
–
↑ 70
13.5%
–
↓ 30
5.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.