What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Most likely right now
3.75%
–43%
EconomyVol $5.0KTotal volume $6.8MLiquidity $248KComments 5in 4 months (Dec 9)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
3.75%
43.1%
–
4.0%
31.6%
▼0.7
4.25%
11.3%
▼1.1
3.5%
8.35%
▲0.6
≥ 4.5%
4.10%
–
3.0%
1.15%
–
3.25%
1.05%
–
2.75%
0.60%
–
2.5%
0.50%
–
1.25
0.50%
–
2.25%
0.45%
–
≤1.0%
0.45%
–
1.5%
0.45%
–
1.75%
0.40%
–
2.0%
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
