What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Polymarket traders put "5.0%" at 22.5% on "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
5.0%
▼2.523%
EconomyVol $2.2KTotal volume $2.2KLiquidity $15Kin 1.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5.0%
22.5%
▼2.5
4.75%
19.5%
▼6.0
4.25%
14.5%
▲1.5
4.5%
13.5%
▲0.5
3.5%
13.0%
▼11.5
3.75%
13.0%
▼0.5
5.5%
13.0%
–
4.0%
12.5%
▼0.5
5.25%
12.5%
▼12.0
≥6.0%
12.5%
▼12.0
5.75%
8.00%
▼5.5
3.25%
7.50%
▼17.0
3.0%
7.00%
▼18.0
≤2.5%
6.50%
▼6.0
2.75%
4.00%
▼20.5

Probability over time

5.0%
4.75%
4.25%
4.5%
3.5%
3.75%
02550751009/249/25
2026-09-24 ~ 2026-09-25 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.