What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
Polymarket traders put "4.25%" at 31.0% on "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
4.25%
▼1.031%
EconomyVol -Total volume $28KLiquidity $39Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.25%
31.0%
▼1.0
4.5%
28.5%
–
4.75%
20.0%
▲1.5
3.75%
14.0%
▼0.7
3.5%
10.2%
–
4.0%
10.0%
–
5.0%
10.0%
–
3.0%
7.95%
–
5.75%
7.40%
–
≤2.5%
6.75%
▼0.6
3.25%
4.70%
–
5.25%
3.75%
–
2.75%
2.90%
–
≥6.0%
1.50%
–
5.5%
1.35%
–
Probability over time
4.25%
4.5%
4.75%
3.75%
3.5%
4.0%
2026-09-24 ~ 2026-11-11 · y-axis %
