What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "$510K+" at 21.0% on "What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. $611 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 11.
Most likely right now
$510K+
▼5.021%
EconomyVol $611Total volume $611Liquidity $2.4Kin 3 months (Jan 11)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$510K+
21.0%
▼5.0
$445K - $458K
18.0%
▼1.0
$484K - $497K
18.0%
▲8.0
$471K - $484K
17.5%
▲7.5
$458K - $471K
13.0%
▼13.0
$497K - $510K
11.5%
▲1.5
<$445K
9.05%
▼17.0
Probability over time
$510K+
$445K - $458K
$484K - $497K
$471K - $484K
$458K - $471K
$497K - $510K
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
