What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

Polymarket traders put "$407K - $417K" at 28.5% on "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $735 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 11.

Most likely right now
$407K - $417K
▲3.028%
EconomyVol $735Total volume $735Liquidity $3.2Kin 3 months (Jan 11)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$407K - $417K
28.5%
▲3.0
$427K - $437K
25.5%
–
$446K+
17.0%
▼8.5
<$397K
16.0%
▼9.5
$397K - $407K
11.5%
▼14.0
$417K - $427K
9.00%
▼16.5
$437K - $446K
6.00%
▼7.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.