When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

Polymarket traders put "by December 31, 2027" at 79.5% on "When will Bitcoin hit $100k?". Down 5.5%p from yesterday. $4.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
by December 31, 2027
▼5.580%
CryptoVol $4.3KTotal volume $125KLiquidity $131Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
by December 31, 2027
79.5%
▼5.5
by September 30, 2027
63.5%
▼2.5
by June 30, 2027
56.5%
▼6.5
by March 31, 2027
46.5%
▼4.5
by December 31, 2026
27.0%
▼7.5

Probability over time

by December 31, 2027
by September 30, 2027
by June 30, 2027
by March 31, 2027
by December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.