When will the Bitcoin halving occur?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2028" at 91.0% on "When will the Bitcoin halving occur?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2028
–91%
CryptoVol -Total volume $108Liquidity $621in 1.7 years (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2028
91.0%
–
March 31, 2028
43.0%
▼5.5
Probability over time
June 30, 2028
March 31, 2028
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %
