When will the Bitcoin halving occur?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2028" at 91.5% on "When will the Bitcoin halving occur?". $32 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2028
–92%
CryptoVol $32Total volume $32Liquidity $754in 1.8 years (Jul 1)
Current probability
Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2028
91.5%
–
March 31, 2028
27.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
