When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

Polymarket traders put "No release by November 1" at 87.7% on "When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?". Down 4.3%p from yesterday. $6.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
No release by November 1
▼4.388%
TechVol $6.1KTotal volume $280KLiquidity $23Kin 23 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No release by November 1
87.7%
▼4.3
October 12–October 18
4.75%
–
October 19–October 25
4.65%
▲1.5
October 26–November 1
3.10%
▲2.0
October 5–October 11
0.50%
–

Probability over time

No release by November 1
October 12–October 18
October 19–October 25
October 26–November 1
October 5–October 11
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.