Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Frontier Airlines" at 7.0% on "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Frontier Airlines
–7%
EconomyVol -Total volume $156KLiquidity $43KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Frontier Airlines
7.00%
–
JetBlue
6.50%
▲1.1
Allegiant
2.75%
–
Alaska Airlines
2.35%
–
American Airlines
1.95%
–

Probability over time

Frontier Airlines
JetBlue
Allegiant
Alaska Airlines
American Airlines
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.