Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Polymarket traders put "Unusual Machines" at 44.5% on "Which companies will the US take a stake in?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 17 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Unusual Machines
▲3.045%
EconomyVol $2.4KTotal volume $208KLiquidity $8.7KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Unusual Machines
44.5%
▲3.0
Anduril
23.5%
▼3.0
OpenAI
14.0%
–
TSMC
12.0%
▼0.5
Lockheed Martin
11.0%
▲4.0
Anthropic
11.0%
–
IonQ
10.0%
▼2.5
Micron
8.50%
–
Freeport-McMoRan
8.00%
▲0.5
Boeing
7.50%
–
Eli Lilly
6.30%
–
Nvidia
6.00%
▼3.5
Pfizer
5.25%
–
SpaceX
5.00%
–
Palantir
4.25%
▼0.9
TikTok US / Bytedance
4.05%
–
Samsung Electronics
3.75%
–
Probability over time
Unusual Machines
Anduril
OpenAI
TSMC
Lockheed Martin
Anthropic
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
