Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Most likely right now
GlobalFoundries
–89%
EconomyVol $167Total volume $173KLiquidity $13KComments 3in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
GlobalFoundries
88.8%
–
Rigetti
77.8%
▼0.8
D-Wave
72.5%
▲2.0
Unusual Machines
37.5%
▼10.0
OpenAI
23.0%
▲1.5
Anduril
20.5%
▲3.5
IonQ
18.5%
▲3.5
Palantir
14.5%
▲3.0
Nvidia
13.0%
–
TSMC
10.0%
▼0.5
Anthropic
10.0%
▲1.5
Lockheed Martin
8.50%
▼1.0
Micron
8.50%
▲1.0
SpaceX
7.00%
▼1.5
Boeing
6.50%
▲0.5
Freeport-McMoRan
6.50%
▼0.5
Eli Lilly
3.55%
–
TikTok US / Bytedance
3.50%
–
Samsung Electronics
3.20%
–
Pfizer
2.50%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
