Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 77.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?". Up 52.0%p from yesterday. $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲52.078%
TechVol $4.1KTotal volume $4.1KLiquidity $7.3Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Anthropic
77.5%
▲52.0
OpenAI
13.5%
▼12.0
Alibaba
7.35%
▼18.1
Google
6.50%
▼29.0
Nvidia
6.05%
▼19.4
Z.ai
4.45%
▼31.1
SpaceXAI
3.65%
▼21.9
StepFun
3.30%
▼46.2
Tencent
3.20%
▼22.3
Meituan
2.40%
▼23.1
Moonshot
0.60%
▼34.9
Mistral
0.60%
▼34.9
Microsoft
0.60%
▼34.9
Meta
0.55%
▼34.9
Baidu
0.55%
▼34.9
Xiaomi
0.55%
▼24.9
DeepSeek
0.55%
▼34.9
Amazon
0.55%
▼34.9
ByteDance
0.55%
▼24.9
Thinky
0.55%
▼24.9
MiniMax
0.55%
▼34.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.