Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 61.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?". There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–62%
TechVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $19Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
61.5%
–
OpenAI
34.0%
▲0.5
Alibaba
0.70%
–
Google
0.55%
–
Moonshot
0.55%
–
Xiaomi
0.55%
–
DeepSeek
0.55%
–
ByteDance
0.55%
–
Nvidia
0.55%
–
MiniMax
0.55%
–
Mistral
0.55%
–
Meituan
0.55%
–
StepFun
0.55%
–
Meta
0.50%
–
Baidu
0.50%
–
Z.ai
0.50%
–
Amazon
0.50%
–
Tencent
0.50%
–
SpaceXAI
0.30%
–
Thinky
0.20%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
