Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 71.0% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▼1.071%
TechVol -Total volume $37KLiquidity $14Kin 21 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
71.0%
▼1.0
Google
34.0%
▲8.1
OpenAI
3.50%
–
Meta
1.70%
–
DeepSeek
0.35%
–
Moonshot
0.25%
–
Xiaomi
0.25%
–
Amazon
0.25%
–
Tencent
0.25%
–
Baidu
0.20%
–
SpaceXAI
0.20%
–
StepFun
0.20%
–
ByteDance
0.15%
–
Nvidia
0.15%
–
Z.ai
0.10%
–
Thinky
0.10%
–
Meituan
0.10%
–
Alibaba
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
Google
OpenAI
Meta
DeepSeek
Moonshot
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
