Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 43.5% on "Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?". $401 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Anthropic
–44%
TechVol $401Total volume $401Liquidity $5.6Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Anthropic
43.5%
–
Google
28.5%
–
Alibaba
6.20%
–
Nvidia
6.05%
–
Tencent
6.05%
–
Moonshot
5.90%
–
Mistral
5.85%
–
StepFun
5.60%
–
Baidu
5.55%
–
DeepSeek
5.45%
–
Amazon
5.45%
–
Meta
5.30%
–
Thinky
5.25%
–
SpaceXAI
5.15%
–
Microsoft
5.00%
–
Xiaomi
4.95%
–
MiniMax
4.90%
–
Z.ai
4.85%
–
OpenAI
4.80%
–
ByteDance
4.80%
–
Meituan
4.65%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.