Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Polymarket traders put "Thom Tillis" at 11.5% on "Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?". $5.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 2.
Most likely right now
Thom Tillis
–12%
CryptoVol $5.1KTotal volume $249KLiquidity $103KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 2)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Thom Tillis
11.5%
–
Mike Lee
9.50%
–
Kirsten Gillibrand
9.50%
–
Raphael Warnock
9.30%
–
John Fetterman
8.95%
–
Ruben Gallego
8.45%
–
Andy Kim
8.15%
–
Catherine Cortez Masto
7.50%
–
Mark Warner
6.90%
–
Jerry Moran
6.90%
▲2.4
Lisa Blunt Rochester
6.50%
–
Rand Paul
6.50%
–
Josh Hawley
6.25%
▲1.3
Alex Padilla
5.65%
▼2.3
Jacky Rosen
4.55%
▼5.0
Probability over time
Thom Tillis
Mike Lee
Kirsten Gillibrand
Raphael Warnock
John Fetterman
Ruben Gallego
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
