Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Polymarket traders put "50" at 44.0% on "Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
50
0.544%
CryptoVol -Total volume $23KLiquidity $1.3KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50
44.0%
0.5
20
14.5%
0.5
10
12.5%
3.0
5
8.90%
1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.