Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Polymarket traders put "50" at 38.5% on "Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
50
–39%
CryptoVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $1.6KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50
38.5%
–
20
19.5%
–
5
9.20%
▲1.1
10
7.00%
▼1.0

Probability over time

50
20
5
10
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.