Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 99.6% on "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?". Unchanged from yesterday. $130 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
–100%
TechVol $130Total volume $1.1MLiquidity $49KComments 28in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
99.6%
–
December 31
99.3%
–

Probability over time

October 31
December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.