Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 71.4% on "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?". Unchanged from yesterday. $305 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–71%
CryptoVol $305Total volume $607KLiquidity $7.6KComments 27in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
71.4%
–
June 30, 2027
32.5%
▼4.0
December 31, 2026
9.50%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.