Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 44.5% on "Will Base launch a token by ___ ?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $606 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼0.545%
CryptoVol $606Total volume $8.0MLiquidity $27KComments 181in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
44.5%
▼0.5
June 30, 2027
19.5%
▼1.0
December 31, 2026
7.50%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.