Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?" at 1.3%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
–1%
CryptoVol -Total volume $198KLiquidity $7.5KComments 13in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
1.25%
–

Probability over time

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.