Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Polymarket traders put "Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?" at 7.8%. Down 1.1%p from yesterday. It resolves on Feb 15.

Most likely right now
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
1.18%
EconomyVol -Total volume $9.4KLiquidity $610Comments 2in 6 months (Feb 15)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
7.85%
1.1

Probability over time

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.