Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Polymarket traders put "Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?" at 8.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Feb 16.

Most likely right now
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
–9%
EconomyVol -Total volume $9.7KLiquidity $336Comments 2in 4 months (Feb 16)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
8.90%
–

Probability over time

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.