Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? " at 39.5%. Down 2.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
2.040%
CryptoVol -Total volume $84KLiquidity $111Comments 30in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
39.5%
2.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.