Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 1.20" at 36.5% on "Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?". There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
↑ 1.20
37%
EconomyVol -Total volume $89KLiquidity $2.9KComments 6in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 1.20
36.5%
↑ 1.22
32.5%
↓ 1.10
29.0%
6.5
↓ 1.12
27.5%
3.5
↓ 1.00
9.60%
4.9
↓ 1.05
8.75%
↑ 1.26
8.60%
↑ 1.24
8.50%
↑ 1.35
7.20%
↑ 1.30
6.50%
↑ 1.40
5.55%
2.6

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.