Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?" at 12.0%. Down 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
1.012%
EconomyVol -Total volume $251Liquidity $235Comments 1in 3 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
12.0%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.