Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 26.5% on "Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼0.527%
CryptoVol $10Total volume $16KLiquidity $3.7KComments 2in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
26.5%
▼0.5
September 30, 2027
23.5%
–
June 30, 2027
21.5%
–
March 31, 2027
15.5%
–
December 31, 2026
10.5%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
September 30, 2027
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.