Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Most likely right now
↑$900B
–89%
EconomyVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.0MLiquidity $115Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑$900B
89.0%
–
↑$1.0T
69.5%
–
↑$1.25T
46.5%
▼0.5
↓$800B
31.5%
▼0.5
↑$1.5T
27.0%
▲1.0
↓$750B
21.0%
–
↑$1.75T
19.0%
▼1.0
↓$700B
17.5%
–
↑$2.0T
12.0%
▲1.5
↓$600B
11.5%
▼0.5
↑$2.5T
7.50%
–
↓$500B
7.50%
–
↑$3.0T
5.50%
–
↑$4.0T
3.00%
–
↑$5.0T
2.60%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
