Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?" at 13.0%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $48 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
▲0.513%
EconomyVol $48Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $2.7Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
13.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
