Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↑ 6.75%" at 83.0% on "Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
↑ 6.75%
▲0.583%
EconomyVol -Total volume $51KLiquidity $1.9Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ 6.75%
83.0%
▲0.5
↓ 5.90%
18.0%
▲0.5
↓ 5.70%
11.5%
–
↓ 5.50%
10.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
↑ 6.75%
↓ 5.90%
↓ 5.70%
↓ 5.50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
