Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 7.50%" at 68.5% on "Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $305 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 15.

Most likely right now
↑ 7.50%
▼4.069%
EconomyVol $305Total volume $98KLiquidity $3.7Kin 3 months (Jan 15)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 7.50%
68.5%
▼4.0
↓ 6.50%
16.5%
▼1.5
↓ 6.25%
10.0%
–
↓ 6.00%
6.00%
–
↓ 5.50%
3.30%
–
↓ 5.90%
2.75%
–
↓ 5.70%
1.40%
–

Probability over time

↑ 7.50%
↓ 6.50%
↓ 6.25%
↓ 6.00%
↓ 5.50%
↓ 5.90%
02550751008/259/89/159/229/2910/610/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.