Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

Polymarket traders put "Central US (SPP)" at 41.0% on "Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
Central US (SPP)
0.541%
OtherVol -Total volume $382Liquidity $772in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Central US (SPP)
41.0%
0.5
Midwest (MISO)
41.0%
3.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.