Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Polymarket traders put "August 31" at 19.5% on "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
August 31
–20%
EconomyVol -Total volume $26KLiquidity $2.1Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 31
19.5%
–
September 30
13.0%
▼31.0
December 31
11.0%
–
June 30
0.00%
–
July 31
0.00%
–
Probability over time
August 31
September 30
December 31
June 30
July 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
