Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 9.0% on "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.59%
EconomyVol -Total volume $35KLiquidity $3.2Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
9.00%
▲0.5
October 31
2.15%
–
June 30
0.00%
–
July 31
0.00%
–
August 31
0.00%
–
September 30
0.00%
–
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
June 30
July 31
August 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
