Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

Polymarket traders put "285M" at 42.0% on "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?". Down 15.0%p from yesterday. $3.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 9.

Most likely right now
285M
15.042%
EconomyVol $3.6KTotal volume $63KLiquidity $16Kin 14 days (Sep 9)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
285M
42.0%
15.0
255M
1.00%
240M
0.75%
270M
0.60%
0.7
225M
0.60%

Probability over time

285M
255M
240M
270M
225M
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.